BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arizona St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 17 Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 159.58
Conference: Big 12 Conference Record: (8-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (11-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W * 168.51 48 7 1A 110 ( 3- 9) Wyoming 8.29 * -1.27 32.71
2 09/07/2024 Home W * 148.71 30 23 1A 66 ( 2-10) Mississippi St -11.51 0.45 18.51
3 09/12/2024 Away W * 150.83 31 28 1A 61 ( 8- 5) Texas St-San Marcos -9.39 13.03 12.39
4 09/21/2024 Away L * * 144.08 22 30 1A 49 ( 8- 5) Texas Tech -16.13 -1.59 8.13
5 10/05/2024 Home W * * 157.02 35 31 1A 30 ( 5- 7) Kansas -3.19 3.66 7.19
6 10/11/2024 Home W * * 155.93 27 19 1A 53 ( 5- 7) Utah -4.28 7.92 12.28
7 10/19/2024 Away L * * 141.55 14 24 1A 44 ( 5- 7) Cincinnati -18.67 -4.00 8.67
8 11/02/2024 Away W * * 165.13 42 21 1A 70 ( 3- 9) Oklahoma St 4.92 -1.44 16.08
9 11/09/2024 Home W * * 153.22 35 31 1A 45 ( 4- 8) Central Florida -7.00 2.28 11.00
10 11/16/2024 Away W * * 168.85 24 14 1A 26 ( 9- 4) Kansas St 8.64 -6.65 1.36
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 161.79 28 23 1A 15 (11- 2) Brigham Young 1.57 -1.43 3.43
12 11/30/2024 Away W * * 182.38 49 7 1A 85 ( 4- 8) Arizona 22.17 12.43 19.83
13 12/07/2024 Neutral W * * 182.77 45 19 1A 22 (11- 3) Iowa St 22.55 -1.65 3.45
14 01/01/2025 Neutral L * 162.24 31 39 1A 4 (13- 3) Texas 2.03 -9.13 -10.03
Averages 160.22 32.9 22.6
Best game: 182.77 = 26 point win over Iowa St
Worst game: 141.55 = 10 point loss to Cincinnati
Team stdev: 12.65